Ketchikan. . . The Southeast Alaska pink salmon harvest in 2008 is predicted to be below average, with a
point estimate of 19 million fish (80% confidence interval: 10–34 million fish). An actual harvest of 19
million pink salmon would be 40% of the recent 10-year average of 47 million pink salmon. The 2008
forecast is a “model average†of two forecasts: 1) a forecast of the trend in the harvest, and 2) the forecast
trend adjusted using 2007 pink salmon fry abundance data provided by the NOAA Fisheries, Alaska
Fisheries Science Center, Auke Bay Laboratories. A brief discussion and description of the forecast
methods can be found at:
http://www.cf.adfg.state.ak.us/region1/pdfs/salmon/2008_pink_forecast.pdf
Department staff will be available to discuss this forecast and plan for the 2008 season at the SE Alaska
Purse Seine Task Force Meeting scheduled for November 27, 2007 in Sitka.